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Market Guides

Evergreen explainers for readers who want the primary-source version before trusting a headline.

45articles in lane
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3avg reading minutes
Market Guide 01Apr 20, 2026

How to read a 10-Q before you care about the earnings headline

A 10-Q is not just a quarterly scorecard. It is the abbreviated filing that gives investors unaudited financial statements, management discussion, risk-factor updates, and a continuing view of the company's condition during the year.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 01Apr 19, 2026

What the Fed's dot plot actually is and why it moves markets

The dot plot is not a promise from the FOMC. It is the visual summary of individual participants' assumptions about the appropriate federal funds rate inside the Summary of Economic Projections.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Theme Note 01Apr 17, 2026

How index funds and ETFs shape sector exposure before stock pickers do

Index funds and ETFs do not just package exposure. Their construction rules, weighting methods, premiums or discounts to NAV, and fee structures influence how sector narratives are translated into portfolios.

Sectors & ThemesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 02Apr 16, 2026

What an 8-K can tell you before the 10-Q arrives

The 8-K is the current report that shows up when a public company has to disclose a material event before its next quarterly or annual filing. It is often the first place where an investor sees the event that later changes the 10-Q or 10-K reading.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Market Guide 02Apr 14, 2026

How to use EDGAR before you trust the market summary

EDGAR is the free public database that lets you look at the company's filings before you outsource the first read to an article, note, or social-media thread. The edge is not speed. The edge is reading the filing category correctly.

Market GuidesUS Stocks
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 03Apr 13, 2026

How CPI is built and why it is not your personal inflation rate

The CPI is a measure of average price change for a representative consumer basket, not a custom inflation rate for one household. BLS says that distinction directly in its own FAQ, and it matters every time investors overread one monthly release.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 05Apr 11, 2026

What the Beige Book adds when the hard data feels late

The Beige Book is not a model output or a formal forecast. The Federal Reserve describes it as anecdotal commentary on current economic conditions gathered district by district and published eight times a year.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read1 sources
Theme Note 02Apr 10, 2026

Why single-stock ETFs are not diversified theme exposure

A single-stock ETF may trade with an ETF ticker, but Investor.gov says it is a complex product tied to one stock rather than an index. That removes the diversification benefit most readers associate with the ETF label.

Sectors & ThemesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Theme Note 03Apr 9, 2026

How concentration risk quietly changes a sector fund

Sector exposure is not automatically broad exposure. Investor.gov says concentration risk can make a fund less diversified and more volatile when it leans heavily into one industry, sector, or geography.

Sectors & ThemesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 04Apr 8, 2026

What Form 13F filings can and cannot tell you about institutional holdings

Form 13F can be useful, but it is a quarter-end disclosure system, not a live portfolio feed. Investor.gov says qualifying institutional investment managers file it quarterly, and the filing only covers Section 13(f) securities on the SEC's official list.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 05Apr 7, 2026

How to read the risk factors section in a 10-K without treating it like boilerplate

Investor.gov says the 10-K risk factors section covers the most significant risks that apply to the company or its securities, generally listed in order of importance. That makes it one of the cleanest places to see what management says could go wrong.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 06Apr 6, 2026

What FOMC minutes tell you between meetings and what they do not

The Federal Reserve says FOMC minutes are released three weeks after each regularly scheduled meeting and provide a timely summary of the discussion and decisions. They are useful context, but they are not the same thing as a verbatim transcript.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Theme Note 04Apr 5, 2026

Why an expense ratio is not the whole cost of owning a fund

Investor.gov defines the expense ratio as the percentage of a fund's average net assets used each year to pay operating expenses. That matters, but Investor.gov also says investors can face other costs that do not appear in the ratio.

Sectors & ThemesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 06Apr 4, 2026

How to read Forms 3, 4, and 5 without overstating the insider signal

Investor.gov says officers, directors, and beneficial owners of more than 10 percent of a class of a company's securities must report purchases, sales, and holdings through Forms 3, 4, and 5. That makes the filings useful, but not a shortcut to motive.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 07Apr 3, 2026

What a noncompetitive Treasury auction bid actually does

TreasuryDirect says individuals bidding through TreasuryDirect submit noncompetitive bids, which means they agree to accept the rate, yield, or discount margin determined at auction. That removes price selection, not auction participation.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Theme Note 05Apr 2, 2026

Why ETF premiums and discounts to NAV matter more than they look

Investor.gov says an ETF trades at a premium when its market price is higher than its NAV per share and at a discount when the market price is lower. That gap can change what investors actually pay or receive at the moment they trade.

Sectors & ThemesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Market Guide 03Apr 1, 2026

What short interest data is and what it is not

FINRA says short interest is a snapshot of total open short positions on a given settlement date, reported twice a month by firms on a per-security basis. That makes it useful, but it also means it is not the same thing as daily short sale volume.

Market GuidesUS Stocks
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 07Mar 31, 2026

What Schedule 13D and 13G actually tell you about a 5 percent holder

Investor.gov says a person or group that acquires beneficial ownership of more than 5 percent of a voting class of a public company's registered equity securities must file a Schedule 13D, unless the facts allow the abbreviated Schedule 13G. That makes the filing a disclosure threshold, not an automatic activism label.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 08Mar 30, 2026

Why a TIPS principal can fall on paper without erasing the par floor

TreasuryDirect says the principal of a Treasury Inflation-Protected Security can go up or down over its term, but at maturity the investor receives the higher of the adjusted principal or the original amount. That means interim deflation adjustment and final principal floor are both part of the instrument.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 09Mar 29, 2026

Why U-6 is broader than U-3 and why that does not make U-3 wrong

BLS says U-3 is the official unemployment rate, while U-6 adds all marginally attached workers and people employed part time for economic reasons. That makes U-6 broader, not truer in every analytical use case.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 10Mar 28, 2026

Why the Fed targets PCE inflation instead of CPI for its 2 percent goal

The Federal Reserve says it seeks 2 percent inflation over the longer run as measured by the PCE price index, not CPI, because PCE is constructed to account for how Americans are spending at a given time and adapts more quickly to spending-pattern changes.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 08Mar 27, 2026

What a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan does and does not prove

The SEC says Rule 10b5-1(c)(1) provides an affirmative defense in insider-trading cases when a trader can show the trade decision was set before the trader became aware of material nonpublic information. That makes a 10b5-1 plan a legal framework with conditions, not a blanket proof of innocence or conviction.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Market Guide 04Mar 26, 2026

Why weekly unemployment claims do not equal the unemployment rate

BLS says the national unemployment rate is produced from the Current Population Survey, not from unemployment insurance claims counts. Claims data are useful, but they measure a narrower administrative system than total unemployment.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 11Mar 25, 2026

How a Treasury bill earns money when it is sold at a discount

TreasuryDirect says Treasury bills are sold at a discount or at par, and that for bills the investor's interest is the difference between the purchase price and the face value paid at maturity. That means the return comes from the price gap, not from a periodic coupon.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 12Mar 24, 2026

What the labor force participation rate measures and what it leaves out

BLS says the labor force participation rate is the labor force as a percentage of the civilian noninstitutional population. That makes it a measure of labor-market engagement, but not a direct measure of employment quality or wage growth.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 13Mar 23, 2026

What the employment-population ratio adds beyond the unemployment rate

BLS says the employment-population ratio is the number of employed people as a percentage of the civilian noninstitutional population. That makes it a clean measure of how much of the eligible civilian population is currently working, not just how many people in the labor force are unemployed.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Market Guide 05Mar 22, 2026

What initial and continuing unemployment claims actually measure

The Department of Labor says an initial claim is filed after a separation from an employer to request a determination of basic UI eligibility, while a continued claim is filed for a week of unemployment after an initial claim already exists. That means the two claims series describe different stages inside the insured-unemployment system.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 14Mar 21, 2026

Why a cash management bill is not just a regular Treasury bill

TreasuryDirect says cash management bills are issued periodically to manage short-term financing needs, are not auctioned on a regular schedule, and can mature in as little as a few days. That makes them Treasury bills, but not the same issuance pattern as benchmark regular bills.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 15Mar 20, 2026

What core PCE measures and what it leaves out

BEA says core PCE is personal consumption expenditures prices excluding food and energy, and that it is used to make the underlying inflation trend easier to see. That makes it a filtered inflation measure, not a full replacement for headline PCE.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 16Mar 19, 2026

What JOLTS job openings, hires, and quits each measure

BLS says JOLTS produces estimates of job openings, hires, and separations, and its concepts page makes clear that each one answers a different labor-market question. Job openings are about vacant positions ready to be filled, hires are payroll additions during the month, and quits are voluntary separations.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 17Mar 18, 2026

What CPI shelter and owners' equivalent rent actually measure

BLS says the CPI shelter index measures the shelter service that a housing unit provides its occupants, and that owners' equivalent rent measures the implicit rent owner occupants would have to pay if they were renting the home unfurnished and without utilities. That makes shelter inflation a housing-services measure, not a direct home-price measure.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 09Mar 17, 2026

What an 8-K does that a 10-Q does not

Investor.gov says Form 8-K is the current report public companies use to announce certain material events on a more current basis, while Form 10-Q includes unaudited financial statements and a continuing view of the company's financial position during the year. The forms overlap in market attention, but they do not serve the same disclosure job.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read3 sources
US Stocks 10Mar 16, 2026

What a DEF 14A proxy statement is for

Investor.gov says the most recent proxy statement filing appears as DEF 14A, the definitive or final proxy statement sent in connection with a shareholder meeting. It is the filing investors read before voting on directors, proposals, and other annual-meeting matters.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 11Mar 15, 2026

What a registration statement and Form S-1 are for

Investor.gov says a registration statement is the SEC filing that makes required disclosures in connection with the registration of a security or securities offering, and that Form S-1 is the form often used for registering securities offerings. That makes an S-1 a disclosure package for a public offering, not an SEC seal of approval.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 12Mar 14, 2026

What a tender offer is and why mini-tender offers are different

Investor.gov says a tender offer is an active and widespread solicitation to purchase a substantial percentage of a company's securities, while mini-tender offers are structured to result in ownership of less than five percent. That threshold matters because mini-tenders can avoid many of the investor protections that apply to larger traditional tender offers.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 18Mar 13, 2026

Why household employment and payroll jobs can diverge

BLS says the household survey measures employment and unemployment for the civilian noninstitutional population age 16 and over, while the payroll survey measures nonfarm wage and salary jobs. Because one survey measures people and the other measures jobs with different coverage rules, short-term divergences are possible without implying that one series is automatically wrong.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 19Mar 12, 2026

What primary dealers actually do in Treasury auctions and Fed operations

The New York Fed says primary dealers are its trading counterparties for implementing monetary policy, are expected to make markets and provide market insight, and are expected to bid on a pro-rata basis in Treasury auctions at reasonably competitive prices. That means primary dealers are not just large bond investors; they are designated counterparties with recurring market-function responsibilities.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 13Mar 11, 2026

What Rule 144 and Form 144 actually tell you

Investor.gov says Rule 144 provides an exemption permitting the public resale of restricted or control securities if several conditions are met, while Form 144 is a notice of a proposed sale by an affiliate above specified thresholds. That means a Form 144 filing signals intended reliance on Rule 144, not proof that the shares have already been sold.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 14Mar 10, 2026

Why a Form D filing is not the same as SEC registration

Investor.gov says Regulation D allows some companies to offer and sell securities without registering the offering with the SEC, and that Form D is a brief notice filed after the first sale. So a Form D on EDGAR points to an exempt-offering path, not to a registered public offering.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 20Mar 9, 2026

What a Treasury reopening changes and what it does not

TreasuryDirect says a reopening issues additional amounts of a previously issued security and that the reopened security keeps the same CUSIP, maturity date, and coupon or spread as the original issue, but usually comes with a different issue date and different price. That means a reopening adds supply to an existing line rather than creating a brand-new bond with new core terms.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 21Mar 8, 2026

Why JOLTS quits and layoffs are different signals

BLS says quits are generally voluntary separations initiated by the employee, while layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer. Because the two measures describe different types of turnover, they should not be read as interchangeable labor-market signals.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 15Mar 7, 2026

What accredited investor status does and does not mean

Investor.gov says some exempt offerings, such as certain Regulation D offerings, may be sold to accredited investors, and its investor bulletin says those exempt offerings do not have to make the prescribed disclosures required in registered offerings. That means accredited investor status opens access to a different disclosure regime, not to a safer one.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
US Stocks 16Mar 6, 2026

Why transfer agents matter more than most investors think

Investor.gov says transfer agents work for the issuer to record ownership changes, maintain holder records, cancel and issue certificates, and distribute dividends. That makes transfer agents a core part of securities recordkeeping, not a back-office footnote.

US StocksMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 22Mar 5, 2026

How competitive and noncompetitive Treasury bids actually differ

TreasuryDirect says a noncompetitive bid guarantees the full amount requested at the auction result, while a competitive bid specifies the return you will accept and may win all, some, or none of the amount bid. That means the real difference is certainty of allocation versus control over the bid level.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources
Macro Note 23Mar 4, 2026

What TAAPS direct bidding actually is in Treasury auctions

TreasuryDirect says TAAPS gives institutional investors direct access to U.S. Treasury auctions without an intermediary, while TreasuryDirect itself only accepts noncompetitive bids. That means `direct bidding` in Treasury auctions is an institutional market-access concept, not just another name for retail TreasuryDirect purchasing.

Macro & RatesMarket Guides
3 min read2 sources